#Semifinals18: Why Telangana elections are crucial

First Published 7, Dec 2018, 3:54 PM IST
#Semifinals18 Why Telangana elections are crucial tight contest 3 parties
Highlights

India's youngest state goes to polls today and shows a tight contest between the top 3 parties
 

The three-way contest

> Chief Minister K Chandrashekar Rao had dissolved the state assembly eight months ahead of time to advance the elections and is seeking a second term. He heads the Telangana Rashtra Samithi. 

> The BJP, which is trying to expand its footprint in the state, has hinted it was because of low confidence.

> The Congress and Chandrababu Naidu's Telugu Desam Party have teamed up to for the third front.

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In the past

In the past, trends show that independents and smaller parties tend to do better in assembly elections. A look at the Vidhan Sabha vs Lok Sabha election shows how the state voted in simultaneous elections in 2014. 
 

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Urban vs rural

In Telangana, unlike other states, urban voters are very important. Telangana has less rural and more urban voters than the rest of India - the 29th state of the country has a 39% urban population as compared to 30% across India.
 

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Stronger zone

The TRS has a stronger base in the northern part of the state, with the party's average margin of victory being as high as 20% in the 2014 elections.
 


The sure-shot winners

There are eight bellwether seats to watch out for. Andole has always voted the same party that's won the state in the last 30 years.
 

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Who’s the winner?

Opinion polls suggest that TRS will cross the hallway mark of 60, but independents and small parties can play the kingmaker here.
 

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